Week 3 Predictions

Kansas City 13, Atlanta 27- The Falcons/Michael Turner should run circles around a Kansas City defense that gave up over 300 yards rushing against the Raiders in Week 2. By the way, I have no idea how Kansas City is going to manage 13 points.

Oakland 17, Buffalo 31- Buffalo is one of the top run defenses in the league thus far, giving up fewer than 100 yards per game. This will be the first real test for them, but the Bills will stuff the box until Jamarcus Russell proves he can beat them with the pass.

TB 21, Chicago 20- This should be a defensive game. Both offenses are only average. Matt Forte will have a difficult time against the Bucs front 7, while the Bucs secondary is one of the best in the league against a very pedestrian passing game. Joey Galloway has not been a threat so far this season, and though Brian Griese might have some extra motivation to beat his former team, victory won't come easily with the tools at his disposal.

Carolina 27, Minnesota 17- Can't win a game kicking field goals, as Minnesota found out against the Colts. The Panthers match up well against the Vikings, especially with the return of Steve Smith. The Vikings seriously need to get something going on offense to even have a chance, and I've yet to see the vaunted Minnesota pass rush take over the game like it was supposed to.

Miami 10, NE 31- No surprises here. The Patriots should have a field day with the Dolphins "defense," with or without Tom Brady.

Cincinnati 14, NYG 38- The Bengals don't have anything going for them on defense, and little more on offense. You'd think that with Chad Ocho Cinco and TJ Houshmanzadeh catching on the outside you'd be able to put up at least 200 yards a game. Unfortunately Carson Palmer didn't get that memo. Plus it's the first half of the season so the Giants should play well.

Houston 17, Tennessee 23- The Titans are tough to beat at home. The lack of a proven running back and a lacking defense is going to haunt the Texans all season. Falling to 0-3 pretty much ends their playoff hopes by virtue of being the bitch team in the ultra-competitive AFC South.

Arizona 31, Washington 27- Arizona won't have as easy a time as they did against the Dolphins. The Redskins and Jason Campbell appear to have turned a corner after a painful Opening Thursday loss to the Giants. Campbell looked comfortable with the offense and played a good game. However the receiving duo of Larry Johnson and Anquan Boldin is tough to matchup with for even the most talented secondary, which Fred Smoot, Shawn Springs, and Carlos Rogers are not.

New Orleans 13, Denver 34- The Broncos' offense reminds me a lot of the 2007 Colts: a dominant wide receiver in Brandon Marshall, a receiving tight end in Tony Scheffler, and a promising second wide receiver in Eddie Royal. Against the highly regarded Chargers secondary Cutler threw four touchdowns. The Saints have a lot of injury problems on the defensive side, and the loss of Marques Colston clearly hurts their offense (as does Jeremy Shockey fumbling the ball). This game has blowout written all over it.

Detroit 24, SF 30- JT O'Sullivan had a very Martz-ish game in week 2 against the Seahawks, and now they get to play a home game against a defense that hasn't allowed fewer than 400 yards in a game. Detroit should spend their week praying, because divine intervention is the only viable strategy they have.

St. Louis 13, Seattle 23- Seattle at home is a tough opponent, even with receivers dropping like flies. The Rams are just a bad team. Their defense is non-existant. The playcalling would make even Brad Childress fall asleep, without the AD factor. Chris Long? Non-factor. They'll be fortunate to get a win before December.

Cleveland 27, Baltimore 23- The Browns beat the Ravens in both meetings last season, both with Derek Anderson under center. The Ravens might have made some upgrades (Joe Flacco?) on offense, but I don't think it will be enough for the win.

Jacksonville 20, Indianapolis 30- If Jeff Saturday returns the Colts should bear much closer resemblance to the team that went 13-3 last year. The Jaguars need to win this game in order to stay in the race for the division. MJD and Fred Taylor have so far been stuffed in the run game, which should change against the run-prone Colts (minus Bob Sanders due to injuries, of course). The Jaguar defense which got shredded by Tom Brady in the Divisional round not only failed to produce a pass rush, but concentrated so much on taking away Randy Moss that Wes Welker ran wild underneath. Look for Peyton Manning to do the same with Anthony Gonzalez on Sunday.

Pittsburgh 27, Philadelphia 34- A tough loss in a shootout to the Cowboys on Monday night should have the Eagles looking for consolation. Pittsburgh is one of the better defenses in the NFL, but then again so is Dallas. McNabb looks dominant, and played very well against the Cowboys. As long as he and Brian Westbrook remain healthy, the Eagles are contenders. Barring any goal-line heroics by DeSean Jackson, the Eagles should be favored.

Dallas 31, Green Bay 27- Aaron Rodgers is going to have his first real test as a starter. The league has seen what he can do and will prepared for him, unlike his entry into the Dallas game last year. Of course the way the commentators talk about Rodgers, the Cowboys might as well prepare to play Favre...

NYJ 17, San Diego 30- Obviously this game was scheduled for the Favre appeal and the hope that both teams would be playing well enough to merit the MNF spot. Wrong. The Chargers look lost on defense to the same degree that the Jets look lost on offense. Favre's cute toss-ups won't work against the Chargers, however. Philip Rivers appears to have taken his game to the next level, directing the powerful Chargers offense for some ridiculous scores.

Week 2 results

Green Bay 48, Detroit 25 (predicted: Green Bay 33, Detroit 17)- At least Detroit kept it interesting until late in the game. Ironically, the problem wasn't the defense this time. I guess Kitna didn't say his prayers before the game.

NYG 41, St. Louis 13 (predicted: NYG 30, St. Louis 21)- Are we ready to admit how bad the St. Louis Rams are? Everyone thought "Oh, well their offensive line is returning to health so they won't have as many problems as they did last year." Oops. I guess to be (a little) fair the Rams were within a score until the Giants shut the door in the fourth quarter.

New Orleans 24, Washington 29 (predicted: New Orleans 24, Washington 14)- So much for New Orleans being good. I love how Jeremy Shockey lost a key fumble. He's such a difference maker! Jason Campbell and Santana Moss had nice games, not sure how many times we're going to see that this season...

Buffalo 20, Jacksonville 16 (predicted: Buffalo 17, Jacksonville 24)- Looks like Jacksonville is only the best team to hide behind this season's "Well the Giants started 0-2 and won the Super Bowl!" excuse. Yeah, except the Giants actually scored points in their first two losses last year and were playing good teams.

Tennessee 24, Cincinnati 7 (predicted: Tennessee 20, Cincinnati 17)- This game is hilarious for a couple of reasons. 1) Kerry Collins is so much better than Vince Young. 2) Carson Palmer now has back-to-back Rex Grossman level games. 3) The Bengals are quite literally a paper tiger. They should be good, but they just aren't.

Oakland 23, KC 8 (predicted: Oakland 20, KC 21)- Good rushing game for Oakland, despite losing Fargas to injury. Fargas is a good running back, but now we've seen what Run DMC can do (against a crappy defense). Will Jamarcus Russell ever turn into something more than a handoff machine?

Indianapolis 18, Minnesota 15 (predicted: Indianapolis 31, Minnesota 27)- This was a fun game to watch, if only to see the Peyton Manning sad face for the entire game. Anthony Gonzalez' flip to Reggie Wayne was amazing. By the way- Gonzalez appears to be the real deal. He can make catches in traffic and has shown he has good hands. Marvin Harrison took a big hit and didn't fumble. Tarvaris Jackson is still horrible. AD had a huge game, as predicted. Mr. Glass aka Dallas Clark continues to annoy the crap out of me.

Chicago 17, Carolina 20 (predicted: Chicago 27, Carolina 20)- Way to blow a 2-score lead Chicago. Just shows that last week's upset was a fluke.

Atlanta 9, TB 24 (predicted Atlanta 17, TB 14)- The stupid Falcons tried to pass for some reason, and as expected Matt Ryan floundered against a competent defense. If they had handed off to Michael Turner (or let him QB) on every play, they would have won.

SF 33, Seattle 30 (predicted: SF 17, Seattle 20)- Seattle is looking pretty terrible at the moment, and not just because their receivers are dropping like Broncos players in the offseason (ok, not that bad). Their defense is just horrible, and without major injuries they really have no excuse. It's the freakin' 49ers... In any case when they play the Cardinals it should be an interesting game to watch.

San Diego 38, Denver 39 (predicted: San Diego 31, Denver 24)- This was also a hilarious game. First of all, the Chargers should have won. Ed Hochuli's muscles cannot save him. On the other hand, I love seeing San Diego lose two games in the final seconds, and props to Shanahan for going for the win instead of sending it to OT. There's no better way to give a division rival the finger. Brandon Marshall looked unstoppable. Side note: Why did LT get hurt? It's not the playoffs yet...

NE 19, NYJ 10 (predicted: NE 24, NYJ 14)- Not the game it was hyped up to be, although I guess one could expect Matt Cassell to be below average. Credit to him, he didn't screw up. The Jets offense, despite the free-agency acquisitions of Brett Favre and Alan Faneca, is nothing to write home about. Neither is the Jets defense.

Miami 10, Arizona 31 (predicted: Miami 17, Arizona 34)- Good calls by me on Larry Fitzgerald (153 yards) and Anquan Boldin (3 TD, 140 yards). Apparently the Dolphins secondary just didn't feel like covering Boldin's first TD- he blew right by the free safety. Boldin isn't even that fast. His third TD was the most impressive though. If this season doesn't convince Bill Parcells to retire, then he's going to be in the league forever.

Game postponed due to Hurricane (predicted: Baltimore 20, Houston 17)

Pittsburgh 10, Cleveland 6 (predicted: Pittsburgh 38, Cleveland 17)- Bad weather gave the Browns a chance, but Pittsburgh still should have killed them.

Philadelphia 37, Dallas 41 (predicted: Philadelphia 27, Dallas 31)- Ok, so add 10 to each team and I had it right. DeSean Jackson should basically kill himself. At least it was the game it was hyped up to be. Pretty exciting until the very end. Romo to TO is probably the best QB-receiver duo in the league at the moment.

8/15 winners picked correctly in week 2, 16/30 for the season so far.

Musings on the Patriots

-Tom Brady has never thrown a Super Bowl winning touchdown.

-The Patriots in the Tom Brady/Bill Belichick era have never won a Super Bowl without Eric Mangini or Adam Viniateri.

Week 2 Predictions

Green Bay 33, Detroit 17- Detroit apparently doesn't play defense.

NYG 30, St. Louis 21- I figure the Rams can't be as terrible at home as they are on the road...right?

New Orleans 24, Washington 14- Zorn's anemic offense will continue to struggle. Maybe Jason Campbell will look like he knows where he is in Week 2 though. The loss of Marques Colston hurts the Saints.

Buffalo 17, Jacksonville 24- The Bills D-line should have a big day, but it won't be enough to beat Jacksonville at home.

Tennessee 20, Cincinnati 17- Loss of Vince Young actually helps the Titans.

Oakland 20, KC 21- Both these teams are so bad that it's hard to call.

Indianapolis 31, Minnesota 27- I could easily see AD rack up a 200 yard game, especially after the loss of their starting DT to a drug posession suspension. The Colts had better hope that Peyton Manning can a) return to form and b) have enough time to throw with his patched up line.

Chicago 27, Carolina 20- Matt Forte should have another big game, while Carolina struggles against a healthy Bears defense.

Atlanta 17, TB 14- The Bucs defense is solid, but the offense won't be able to control the game.

SF 17, Seattle 20- Seattle has no receivers, and do you really want to pin your hopes on Julius Jones? However, SF sucks.

San Diego 31, Denver 24- Denver has no run defense. The Chargers have LT.

NE 24, NYJ 14- Patriots defense is still fairly good, though aging.

Miami 17, Arizona 34- Boldin and Fitzgerald are in for a big day.

Baltimore 20, Houston 17- The Ravens have a good defense, and the Texans offense is not great.

Pittsburgh 38, Cleveland 17- Cleveland has no defense.

Philadelphia 27, Dallas 31- Given to Dallas solely because they're at home.

Week 1 results

Detroit 21, Atlanta 34 (predicted: Detroit 24, Atlanta 10)- Wow. Apparently I forgot that Michael Turner literally cannot be stopped. 220 yards in his debut as a starter? Jesus. Even Matt Ryan threw a touchdown.

Cincinnati 10, Baltimore 17 (predicted: Cincinnati 17, Baltimore 9)- Looks like the Bengals are headed towards mediocrity again.

Seattle 10, Buffalo 34 (predicted Seattle 24, Buffalo 28)- Hey... I called the upset right. Matt Hasselbeck didn't have any receivers by the time the game was over.

NYJ 20, Miami 14 (predicted: NYJ 31, Miami 14)- No real surprises here. That second Favre toss-up was ridiculous. Any other team besides Miami would have had the wits to intercept it.

KC 10, NE 17 (predicted: KC 10, NE 34)- Hey, I heard someone on the Patriots got hurt? Anyone hear anything about that?

TB 20, NO 24 (predicted: TB 27, NO 24)- Never mind that Reggie Bush stepped out of bounds at the 2 yard line on his game winning touchdown reception. The Bucs blew it.

St. Louis 3, Philadelphia 38 (predicted: St. Louis 20, Philadelphia 31)- Even I underestimated the Rams incompetence. What a diseased football team.

Houston 17, Pittsburgh 38 (predicted Houston 14, Pittsburgh 28)- Finally a great game from Willie Parker.

Jacksonville 10, Tennesee 17 (predicted: Jacksonville 17, Tennessee 10)- This game was boring as predicted. I had the number of points right, just reverse the teams... Jax's O-line looked awful. So much for David Garrard being an elite quarterback.

Dallas 28, Cleveland 10 (predicted: Dallas 38, Cleveland 24)- Lame showing by the Browns offense.

Carolina 26, San Diego 24 (predicted: Carolina 13, San Diego 27)- This was a great game. Absolutely crazy finish.

Arizona 23, SF 13 (predicted: Arizona 31, SF 17)- JT O'Sullivan sucks.

Chicago 29, Indianapolis 13 (prediction: Chicago 10, Indianapolis 30)- What a

Minnesota 19, GB 24 (predicted: Minnesota 17, GB 21)- Brett Fav...er, Aaron Rodgers comes through.

Denver 41, Oakland 14 (predicted: Denver 21, Oakland 24)- So much for Oakland turning a corner. Denver's run defense is still terrible though.

I picked winners correctly in 8 / 15 games. I suck. Week 2 predictions coming soon...

How the mighty have fallen.

Tom Brady injured his knee in the Patriots' game vs. Kansas City today at home in Gillette. While there's nothing official so far from the Patriot management, early rumors have Brady out for the rest of the season.

Needless to say, this is a devastating blow to the Patriots' Super Bowl hopes after being upset by the New York Giants 17-14. Say whatever you want about how "the Patriots still have Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Lawrence Maroney, and a solid defense," but Brady, like Peyton Manning, is what the organization is built around. If Jim Sorgi can't win with the Colts, then Matt Cassell is definitely not going to be winning with the Patriots.

This also throws the AFC East wide open. If "most improved" awards meant anything, the AFC East would win that particular award. The Jets are widely considered playoff contenders with several major additions in free agency. The Bills made a strong statement in week 1 with their resounding victory over the Seahawks. The Dolphins should at least double their win total from last year.

I would look forward to the Belichick press conference, but I know how it's going to go. "Obviously losing a player like Tom puts us in a difficult situation, but we'll just work through it and concentrate on winning games." Ok Bill. That just got a heck of a lot harder. Looks like the Patriots should have taken a little bit of a closer look at their backup situation during the preseason.

Update: It's official, Tom Brady was put on IR with a torn ACL.

NFL Week 1

I just got back from the future, here's how week 1 turned out.

Detroit 24, Atlanta 10- Matt Ryan throws a touchdown to Roddy White and Jason Elam kicks a field goal. Falcons spend the rest of the afternoon on their half of the field.

Cincinnati 17, Baltimore 9- Three field goals from Baltimore Franchise Player Matt Stover is all they can muster behind Joe "Molasses" Flacco.

Seattle 24, Buffalo 28- 2 touchdowns for Marshawn Lynch and one each for Lee Evans and James Hardy.

NYJ 31, Miami 14- Noodle arm vs. The Fossil. Jets revamped offense pounds helpless Miami.

KC 10, NE 34- New England pulls their starters after going up 34-0 in the first quarter.

TB 27, NO 24- Monte Kiffin stifles Reggie Bust...er, Bush as well as Jeremy Shockey.

St. Louis 20, Philadelphia 31- McNabb to Westbrook all day. Chris Long injures McNabb in the 3rd quarter, out for the season.

Houston 14, Pittsburgh 28- Houston is the fashionable sleeper pick this year, too bad they aren't as good as the Steelers.

Jacksonville 17, Tennessee 10- Rivalry game, but probably a boring one. Lame Tennessee offense vs overrated Jacksonville defense. Side note: is Albert Haynesworth large enough to eat MJD?

Dallas 38, Cleveland 24- How can you not have a shootout with the crappy Browns defense? Cleveland won't make the playoffs this year either, by the way.

Carolina 13, San Diego 27- The LT show comes to Carolina. 3 TDs.

Arizona 31, SF 17- Frank Gore gets 5 carries and 10 receptions for two touchdowns. The rest of the Niners...not so much.

Chicago 10, Indianapolis 30- Peyton Manning and the Colts remind the Bears why they lost the Super Bowl.

Minnesota 17, GB 21- Ryan Grant runs for 27 yards total against the Williams brothers. Serves you morons right for drafting him in the second round in fantasy.

Denver 21, Oakland 24- Jamarcus Russell: 110 yards passing, 2 interceptions. Raiders running backs: 247 yards, 3 touchdowns. 2 touchdowns for Tony Scheffler.

Season Begins!

The 2008-2009 season officially began with a game between defending Super Bowl Champion New Engl....err, New York Giants playing the Washington Redskins at home. Some thoughts from the game...

- By far the most entertaining play of the game was in the first quarter when Brandon Jacobs completely owned LaRon Landry. No disrespect to Landry, but that was just pathetic. Why would you try to tackle a 265-pound running back running at full steam with your pads that high? It's rare that you see a defender of Landry's caliber completely reverse direction when trying to make a tackle, but those moments should be replayed over and over for humor's sake.

- First drive: apparently Eli forgot that this was the regular season. He actually looked like a real quarterback.

- I can't tell if Plaxico Burress' 130+ yard game is because it's week one or because Washington refused to double team him. Early games tend to favor top receivers over defenders, but Burress returning to health along with his $35 million contract extension means he has the physical tools to show that he's worth it. It also helps that he was lining up against Fred Smoot for most of the game.

- The Giants didn't seem to miss a step despite missing Overrated Umenyiora and Michael Strahan. Justin Tuck had a great game.

- Mr. Fumbles aka Clinton Portis managed to hold onto the ball tonight. If Portis can manage 84 yards rushing against one of the stouter defenses in the league, imagine what he could do if the Redskins had an aerial attack to complement.

- Speaking of the Redskin's passing game... ouch. Jason Campbell did not look comfortable at all, and I am not a fan of Zorn's offensive system. Not only was the playcalling unimaginative, but setting yourself up to throw on third and long against the dime gets old really fast.

- Santana Moss had 2 key drops, but kind of made up for it with his 2nd-quarter touchdown. Normal games will still have the drops... but won't have the touchdown.

- Chris Cooley is every bit the tight end that Antonio Gates, Jason Witten, and Tony Gonzalez are- big targets who can block as well as line up on the outside. Apparently, the presence of the Redskins' only reliable offensive weapon had 1 official catch for 7 yards in addition to another catch for a dozen or so that got called back due to penalty. While I am bitter in part because Cooley is on several of my Fantasy teams, I honestly don't see why more effort wasn't made to get him the ball.
(Note: true to form, John Madden said towards the end of the game that the Redskins should have made more of an effort to get the ball to the tight end. In every game he calls, two things are guaranteed. 1) In the third quarter there will be a shot of delicious food that he will salivate over. 2) He will criticize the losing team for not throwing to their tight end more. It happens every game- look for it.)

- Jerome McDougle showed everyone why the Eagles cut him by drawing a 15-yard roughing the kicker penalty on a punt in the first quarter.

- Going for it down by 2 scores on 4th down with 0:13 seconds left in the game? ....ok?

Final Score: Giants 16, Redskins 7.

Hopefully I will be able to watch all the games this season due to nifty NFL Game Pass HD here in la Suisse, and will be able to comment on the better matchups throughout the year. Next week is definitely going to be Falcons/Lions.

Jason Peters ends holdout

So, whiny Bills left tackle Jason Peters joined the long line of weaklings that hold out for a contract extension, threaten to miss games in the season, and then realizes that missing games is the dumbest idea ever. Not since Lance "I'll never wear a Bears uniform again" Briggs has a contract dispute been so... stupid... on both sides.

The Bills took the entirely reasonable stance that they would not negotiate unless Peters reported to camp. I don't quite understand why they let him become the third highest-paid lineman on the team, since obviously he is a big part of why Buffalo managed (somehow) their 7-9 record last year with a host of injuries to key positions.

Peters, who apparently didn't return phone calls for weeks, sat out and missed all of camp which might not matter as much except oh... the Bills are installing an entirely new offensive system around second-year starter Trent Edwards. Not only does Peters himself fall behind, but one can argue that now his return interferes with any development the offensive line has developed in his absence (which is significant due to the length of the holdout). Peters will eventually get his money, but holding out is certainly not going to put a warm fuzzy feeling in Buffalo's front office.

Tatum Bell steals Rudi Johnson's luggage

Just when you thought Tatum Bell couldn't sink any lower on the Lion's depth chart security footage reveals he removed Rudi Johnson's luggage from the team's facilities. Listen Tatum, Rudi Johnson's equipment and personal effects are not going to make you a starter.